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Home College Football

9 Common Mistakes to Avoid When Betting on College Sports

HornSports Staff by HornSports Staff
October 2, 2024
in College Football
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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9 Common Mistakes to Avoid When Betting on College Sports

The Notre Dame Leprechaun leads the team onto the field before a NCAA college football game between Notre Dame and Louisville at Notre Dame Stadium on Saturday, Sept. 28, 2024, in South Bend. Photo: MICHAEL CLUBB/SOUTH BEND TRIBUNE / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

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Betting on college sports can be exciting, but it also comes with risks. Whether you are a seasoned bettor or new to the game, avoiding common pitfalls is key to long-term success. Here are nine mistakes to watch out for when placing bets on college sports.

1. Not Managing Your Bankroll and Setting Limits

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Effective bankroll management is vital in sports betting. Altering unit sizes based on recent performance can pose financial risks. A flat-betting approach, where you consistently risk 1% to 5% of your bankroll per play, is widely recommended for maintaining stability and ensuring consistency. Furthermore, setting strict limits on the amount you are willing to bet and the frequency of your bets is essential. This helps prevent impulsive decisions and reduces the risk of depleting your bankroll.

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2. Lack of Research and Familiarity

Thorough research is key when placing a bet. Staying updated on injury reports, past matchups, weather forecasts, and other relevant factors can greatly impact your betting decisions. Additionally, focusing on a specific niche, such as betting only on ACC games in college football, can help you make more informed and accurate bets. Betting on sports or teams that you are not well-versed in can lead to poor decision-making. Stick to what you know to avoid spreading yourself too thin across multiple sports.

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3. Placing Too Many Wagers and Emotional Betting

Placing too many bets can rapidly deplete your bankroll due to the vig (commission) charged by bookmakers. Being selective and focusing on high-value bets is a more sustainable approach. Betting with emotion rather than logic is another common mistake. Emotional betting—such as always backing your favorite team or betting under the influence—often leads to poor decisions. It is important to separate personal biases from betting choices and make decisions based on research and rational analysis.

4. Betting Only on Favorites and Double-Checking Your Slip

Betting exclusively on favorites can be risky, as it ignores the potential for upsets. Researching past matchups, injuries, and other factors can help identify better value bets, including those on underdogs. Ensuring that all details on your betting slip are correct before confirming the bet is essential. Mistakes can result in unintended bets and financial losses.

5. Chasing Losses and Falling for Sucker Bets

Chasing losses by placing additional bets to recoup previous losses is a common mistake. This often leads to a cycle of increasing debt. Moreover, bettors should be wary of sucker bets like parlays or betting on heavy favorites. These bets are typically designed to favor the sportsbook and offer low value to the bettor.

One important aspect often overlooked by many bettors is the numerous promotions offered by sportsbooks. Taking advantage of these promotions can enhance your betting returns. Common promotions include sign-up bonuses, risk-free bets, and odds boosts. By staying informed about these opportunities and strategically applying them, you can maximize returns. For instance, platforms such as Fanduel Sportsbook frequently offer attractive promotions for both new and existing customers. Ensuring you read the terms and conditions associated with each offer is essential for leveraging these benefits effectively.

6. Ignoring Deeper Metrics and Timing

Relying solely on basic statistics like points per game or yards per game can be misleading. Utilizing deeper metrics, such as time of possession, defensive strengths, and recent performance trends, provides more accurate insights for informed betting. For instance, a team’s ability to control the ball through time of possession can significantly impact the total score, making it an important metric in college football totals betting.

Injuries to both key and lesser players can substantially affect a team’s performance. Thoroughly considering the injury report is essential for making sound betting decisions. Additionally, ignoring the quality of the opposing defense can lead to overestimating an offense’s potential. Understanding defensive strengths is key in accurately assessing the match outcome.

7. Falling for Media Hype and Focusing Only on Full-Season Stats

Media hype can distort public perception and betting lines. It is important to distinguish between hype and reality, making decisions based on objective analysis rather than media narratives. Betting based on full-season statistics can also be misleading, especially if a team’s performance has varied over time. Recent statistics offer a better representation of a team’s current form, providing a clear picture of their recent performance level.

Understanding coaches’ strategies and tendencies, such as their approach in lopsided games, is another crucial aspect of accurate handicapping. This awareness can influence your overall betting strategy.

8. Betting the Over Too Often and Missing Line Movement

The public often favors betting the over, leading to low-value bets. Oddsmakers adjust lines accordingly, so maintaining a balanced approach and not always betting on the over is essential. Lines can move as more bets are placed. Identifying the best value early and placing bets accordingly can lead to more favorable outcomes.

9. Not Understanding Markets and Tracking Your Bets

Understanding how sports betting markets operate, including how lines are set and how they move, is key to making informed decisions. This knowledge helps identify value bets and avoid traps set by sportsbooks. Furthermore, keeping a record of your bets is essential for evaluating your performance and identifying areas for improvement. Self-tracking allows you to refine your betting strategy over time and learn from past mistakes.

Betting for the sake of betting, especially during slow periods in the sports calendar, can lead to poor decision-making. Waiting for high-value betting opportunities is advisable rather than forcing bets. Additionally, emotional betting can result in impulsive decisions and financial risks. Maintaining a logical and detached approach is key for long-term success in sports betting.

Final Thoughts

Limiting yourself to one sportsbook can result in missed opportunities for better odds and promotions. Shopping around for the best lines and offers is a prudent practice. New bettors often start without adequate knowledge or preparation. Taking the time to learn the basics and develop a solid strategy is essential for long-term success in sports betting. Using only one source of information or following paid betting picks without personal analysis is also a mistake. These services often come with exaggerated claims and can reduce your overall winnings. Personal research and analysis are always more reliable for making informed bets.

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