Postgame win expectancy: based on how each team played snap to snap, Texas wins this game 87% of the time.
EPA (expected points added) measures how much each play changed a team's expected points. Success rate counts plays that gain 50% of the needed yards on first down, 70% on second and 100% on third or fourth. Explosiveness is the average EPA on successful plays. A scoring opportunity is a drive with a first down inside the opponent's 40. Stuff rate is the share of runs stopped at or behind the line. Highlighted numbers are the better side. Data: CollegeFootballData.com.
Top Performers
Texas
PassingArch Manning16/20, 220 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT
RushingRaleek Brown8 car, 30 yds, 0 TD, long 11
ReceivingEmmett Mosley V4 rec, 98 yds, 1 TD, long 42
TacklesJelani McDonald9 tot, 6 solo
Mississippi State
PassingAJ Swann12/15, 97 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT
RushingFluff Bothwell17 car, 49 yds, 0 TD, long 11
ReceivingMarquis Johnson6 rec, 61 yds, 0 TD, long 23