Texas doesn't give a crap about anyone, everyone knows this! However, the state of Texas cares about basic economics and tax revenues from games.
Hypothetically speaking of course;
Let's go over Texas' scheduling first
Texas leaves to the Big 10 with no one else and the big 10 is now at 16 teams.
This means the state will potentially force Texas to continue it's RRR and possibly one game a year alternating between TTech and Baylor. Everyone knows the A&M and Texas rivalry is coming back, which means Texas can potentially have 3 OOC games out of the big 10, that are not going to be cupcake teams!
Texas would be added to the West portion of the big ten, formally known as the Big 10 legends
-Illinois
-Iowa
-Minnesota
-Nebraska
-Northwestern
-Purdue
-Wisconsin
-Texas
Which means Texas' closest away game would be Nebraska, 836 miles away!
Their farthest game will be Minnesota 1,160 miles away.
- Ask WVU how that travel time has been treating them.
-Also those big 10 teams aren't notorious for traveling other than Nebraska and maybe Iowa.
Second thing to bring up is basic state economics and tax revenue.
If Texas says Cya big 12, that leaves TTech, TCU, and Baylor all out looking for new conferences. Which conferences can they join you may ask, well they will need to join a conference that travels well with their teams.
Pac 12- No, they do not travel well at all. Trust me I lived in Pac - 12 country.
SEC - Yes, but good luck!
Big 10- Only adding Texas with no package deal.
ACC - Kinda, only a handful of teams travel for football, your BBall arenas will be packed though.
MWC - LOL are you serious?
AAC - Lets hope they don't go here.
A&M was allowed to go to the SEC mainly because their fans travel very well and are relatively close! Which brings in tons of revenue for the state (A&M and Alabama).
To sum it up, the State capital of Texas (2 blocks away from the campus) would never allow Texas to leave without making sure their little brothers, Baylor, TTech, and TCU, all have a home.Football is a good portion of Tax revenue for the state of Texas.