Thiggystyle
V.I.P.
- Joined
- Oct 22, 2013
- Messages
- 220
There is probably something more productive I could be doing right now but yet here I am.
Oklahoma State is a match-up that, without having seen them actually play, scares me. So I decided to do a little research and see what they look like on paper. Oklahoma State is currently ranked 12th in the BCS standings with a record of 8-1. Their lone loss coming from West Virginia. OSU decided to play a $EC type non-conference schedule this year, matching up against Mississippi State, UTSA, and Lamar - but at least they won! So let's throw out the OOC games and just look at common opponents.
Texas and Oklahoma State have played 5 common opponents: Kansas, Kansas State, TCU, Iowa State, and West Virginia.
Offensively, here is how each has fared against those common opponents:
Texas gained 416 yards on offense
Ok Lite gained 412 yards on offense
Texas scored 33.4 points per game
Ok Lite scored 33.2 points per game
Defensively, here is how each has team has done against the common opponents:
Texas has allowed 360 yards per game
Ok Lite has allowed 342 yards per game
Texas has allowed 22 points per game
Ok St has allowed 20 points per game
So far the game looks pretty even.
Oklahoma State's offense is interesting. They have deployed two quarterbacks this year, J.W. Walsh and Clint Chelf. Right now, J.W. has been the better passer with more completions and yardage, but they are even on touchdowns. Walsh is known as the better runner but both have broken big runs this year (40+ yards) and each has scored 3 rushing touchdowns. Chelf played the majority of the game against KU but I hear he has a propensity to throw into coverage. (Remind you of anyone?) Roland and Smith are their running backs. Roland has been more productive but they only have about 18 carries separating the two. Important note: Ok St top receiver Stewart injured his leg against Kansas and left the game early - I don't know his status for this weekends game. Adjusted for quality of competition, they are 13th in points per game, 18th per play, and 34th per possession. Again, adjusted for quality of competition, they are 30th in yards per play and 64th in yards per possession. Luckily for Texas, Ok State hasn't shown that much success running the ball (56th) and they aren't good at converting their own 3rd downs (73rd). They don't give up a lot of sacks (10th) though I don't know if they've played a front like Texas'.
Basically, Ok St's offense, so far this season, has benefited from good field position.
Special Teams could be a deciding factor in this week's game.
OK State is very good at punt return (19th), net kickoff (8th), and kickoff return (7th) but they aren't great at net punt (97th). Texas has been mediocre at stopping punt and kickoff returns, though we do have the potential to get a big punt return. I'm not sure what has been up with Nick Rose lately but I am seeing way too many kick-off's coming down at the 2-5 yard line. We can not allow Gilbert to get his hands on a kick-off with a head of steam. He returned one 100 yards last week against KU. Conversely, Daje needs to stay focused, catch the ball, and then run like Forrest Gump until DKR gives him a "STOP!" Their kicker is average, at best, 53%, so we have an advantage there but I really don't want to be kicking field goals again this week...
We will need to have good field position because OSU's defense is not bad. OK State is pretty good at stopping the run (21st) and they're good at getting the opponent off the field on third down (15th). They don't get a lot of sacks (88th) but they do pick opponents off (11th). McCoy's "moxy" and ability to convert 3rd down's will be another key to the game. We will need to sustain drives if not to score then to stay ahead on the field position battle.
Net/Net: We need to kick the ball out of the endzone on kick-off's and angle our punts out of bounds. We need a solid return game to help with field position because we won't be able to run the ball consistently to stay ahead of the chains. McCoy will need to stay hot all game and make smart reads away from double coverage and protect the football. Defensively, we need to be sound and wrap up. Oklahoma State will make a few plays but we can not allow them to get on a roll. The crowd could be a factor this week as this will be the most exciting home game, to date, all year.
I'll call my winner and score in this week's pick'em thread.
Hook "Em Horns!
Edit: all stats from adjustedstats.com - credit to alphahydro
Oklahoma State is a match-up that, without having seen them actually play, scares me. So I decided to do a little research and see what they look like on paper. Oklahoma State is currently ranked 12th in the BCS standings with a record of 8-1. Their lone loss coming from West Virginia. OSU decided to play a $EC type non-conference schedule this year, matching up against Mississippi State, UTSA, and Lamar - but at least they won! So let's throw out the OOC games and just look at common opponents.
Texas and Oklahoma State have played 5 common opponents: Kansas, Kansas State, TCU, Iowa State, and West Virginia.
Offensively, here is how each has fared against those common opponents:
Texas gained 416 yards on offense
Ok Lite gained 412 yards on offense
Texas scored 33.4 points per game
Ok Lite scored 33.2 points per game
Defensively, here is how each has team has done against the common opponents:
Texas has allowed 360 yards per game
Ok Lite has allowed 342 yards per game
Texas has allowed 22 points per game
Ok St has allowed 20 points per game
So far the game looks pretty even.
Oklahoma State's offense is interesting. They have deployed two quarterbacks this year, J.W. Walsh and Clint Chelf. Right now, J.W. has been the better passer with more completions and yardage, but they are even on touchdowns. Walsh is known as the better runner but both have broken big runs this year (40+ yards) and each has scored 3 rushing touchdowns. Chelf played the majority of the game against KU but I hear he has a propensity to throw into coverage. (Remind you of anyone?) Roland and Smith are their running backs. Roland has been more productive but they only have about 18 carries separating the two. Important note: Ok St top receiver Stewart injured his leg against Kansas and left the game early - I don't know his status for this weekends game. Adjusted for quality of competition, they are 13th in points per game, 18th per play, and 34th per possession. Again, adjusted for quality of competition, they are 30th in yards per play and 64th in yards per possession. Luckily for Texas, Ok State hasn't shown that much success running the ball (56th) and they aren't good at converting their own 3rd downs (73rd). They don't give up a lot of sacks (10th) though I don't know if they've played a front like Texas'.
Basically, Ok St's offense, so far this season, has benefited from good field position.
Special Teams could be a deciding factor in this week's game.
OK State is very good at punt return (19th), net kickoff (8th), and kickoff return (7th) but they aren't great at net punt (97th). Texas has been mediocre at stopping punt and kickoff returns, though we do have the potential to get a big punt return. I'm not sure what has been up with Nick Rose lately but I am seeing way too many kick-off's coming down at the 2-5 yard line. We can not allow Gilbert to get his hands on a kick-off with a head of steam. He returned one 100 yards last week against KU. Conversely, Daje needs to stay focused, catch the ball, and then run like Forrest Gump until DKR gives him a "STOP!" Their kicker is average, at best, 53%, so we have an advantage there but I really don't want to be kicking field goals again this week...
We will need to have good field position because OSU's defense is not bad. OK State is pretty good at stopping the run (21st) and they're good at getting the opponent off the field on third down (15th). They don't get a lot of sacks (88th) but they do pick opponents off (11th). McCoy's "moxy" and ability to convert 3rd down's will be another key to the game. We will need to sustain drives if not to score then to stay ahead on the field position battle.
Net/Net: We need to kick the ball out of the endzone on kick-off's and angle our punts out of bounds. We need a solid return game to help with field position because we won't be able to run the ball consistently to stay ahead of the chains. McCoy will need to stay hot all game and make smart reads away from double coverage and protect the football. Defensively, we need to be sound and wrap up. Oklahoma State will make a few plays but we can not allow them to get on a roll. The crowd could be a factor this week as this will be the most exciting home game, to date, all year.
I'll call my winner and score in this week's pick'em thread.
Hook "Em Horns!
Edit: all stats from adjustedstats.com - credit to alphahydro
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