Common Man Prediction Thread – UT vs The Cockroaches

[Sugabread]

Tx wins 35 to 24

 

[hookemhorb]

This is going to be an old fashion slobber knocker. Penalties and Turnovers could decide it. I'm still skittish about the D. Texas has the talent and should pull away at some point.

Texas: 45

frogs: 33

 

[Austin Horn]

Texas hasn't beaten a top 5 team at home since 1999 beating #3 Nebraska under Mack, Major and Hodges Mitchell.

Damn I’m old 

 

[Eastexhorn]

Two things worry me about thr Horn Toads.

1 Will Ewers last thewhole game?

2 When TCU WRS getbehind DBS, will QB hit them?

 

[TexExSpur]

Two best RB's go head to head.  No score prediction.  The team that controls the tempo and ground game, wins.

In Bijan, RoJo, and on...We trust!

 

[North Texas Golfer]

Losing at home to an average career first year coach would a bad look for Sark... This is the type of game he needs to show he is the one.. If not just more evidence that we are wasting our time with him.

Based on their career records, both Dykes and Sark have average W-L records ?

And I'm with you on needing to see more evidence from Sark although I'll wait until the season is complete. 

 

[Sirhornsalot]

Based on their career records, both Dykes and Sark have average W-L records ?

And I'm with you on needing to see more evidence from Sark although I'll wait until the season is complete. 

I love @MBHORNSFAN but the lingo he used was just there to support his point.

The coach he tried to play down has taken a team that was picked 6th in the conference and has them undefeated and likely to win the conference regular season. He's viewed as one of the best HCs in the nation right now.

 

[Sirhornsalot]

So the whole HornSports staff has picked Texas to beat TCU. Normally, I would like this development.

However, last game the whole staff picked K-State to beat Texas. And we won.

There's a superstition in this somewhere. lol

 

[North Texas Golfer]

I love @MBHORNSFAN but the lingo he used was just there to support his point.

The coach he tried to play down has taken a team that was picked 6th in the conference and has them undefeated and likely to win the conference regular season. He's viewed as one of the best HCs in the nation right now.

What is most interesting to me is that there is absolutely nothing in Sonny Dyke's previous coaching history that indicated that he would have this kind of success. 

In 11 previous seasons as a HC, he posted a losing record in 5 of them. And he had won 10 games in a season exactly once. Which is also the number of times he lost 11 games in a season. This is his 12th year as a head coach and he didn't even move above .500 until his 9th season in which he went 10-3. And that only put him at 56-55 after 9 full seasons as a HC.

 

[Sirhornsalot]

What is most interesting to me is that there is absolutely nothing in Sonny Dyke's previous coaching history that indicated that he would have this kind of success. 

In 11 previous seasons as a HC, he posted a losing record in 5 of them. And he had won 10 games in a season exactly once. Which is also the number of times he lost 11 games in a season. This is his 12th year as a head coach and he didn't even move above .500 until his 9th season in which he went 10-3. And that only put him at 56-55 after 9 full seasons as a HC.

But look at where he's been. Not exactly bastions of success.

He did beat UT when he was at Cal though.

 

[Johnny Depp]

No top 5 team has been over a 6 point dog to a team outside of the top 10 since the beginning of the FBS in 1978, from the Horn radio.

 

[RickyFlair]

The clock strikes midnight on TCU’s season this Saturday at DKR 

Our message to Hornfrog nation…..

 

[Sirhornsalot]

 

[Baron]

Hope I'm not stepping on @NTG's toes, but I looked up some team stats and here is how they rank.

Offense

Stat        Texas        TCU

1st D         35             42

3 Conv      51              36

Pass Y       49             21

Ru Y           35             13.......Duggan makes the difference

RZ sc          22             81

T.O.P.          116           37

Sacks           19           55

Score           23             3

Defense

Stat         Texas         TCU

1st D            83            60

3 Conv        95            65

Pass D        104           95

Rush D         33           70

RZ sc           24            97

TFL's            22            93

Sacks           74            74

Score           37            74

You can see where UT has a bend but don't break defense (Red Zone D/scoring D vs yards allowed). Hopefully the red zone defense keeps true to form this game. TCU's defense can be shredded.

I've got a feeling this could be a barn burner, but I thought that about the RRR as well.

TCU 51

Texas 49

 

[Johnny Depp]

24 hours. Hoping it's the new UT and I'm wrong, but the way we finished vs. KSU indicates nothing has changed. 

Frogs 43 Horns 36

 

[Johnny Depp]

T.O.P.          116   

Most shocking thing to me. Didn't have any idea it was that bad. Clock management is terrible and correctable.

 

[Johnny Depp]

Texas will have fans nationwide giving the Horns Up!

Tennessee, Oregon, LSU and USC fans all hoping we knock off TCU for them.

 

[BWilk55]

Most shocking thing to me. Didn't have any idea it was that bad. Clock management is terrible and correctable.

Clock management has been quite good actually. Look at how we have ended the first half of every game so far. Except WVU we have scored (or attempted a FG) after running the clock basically all the way down. The clock hasn't been an issue at the end of the game in any losses.

The TOP problem is two fold. One thing, we move fast and score fast on offense. Two, our inability to sustain drives in the 2nd half. 

TOP can also be misleading. Like I said, we score fast. Look at the WVU game, they had a 4:30 edge in TOP but only because they went on two ridiculously long scoring drives despite being down big. 

 

[Johnny Depp]

Clock management has been quite good actually. Look at how we have ended the first half of every game so far. Except WVU we have scored (or attempted a FG) after running the clock basically all the way down. The clock hasn't been an issue at the end of the game in any losses.

The TOP problem is two fold. One thing, we move fast and score fast on offense. Two, our inability to sustain drives in the 2nd half. 

TOP can also be misleading. Like I said, we score fast. Look at the WVU game, they had a 4:30 edge in TOP but only because they went on two ridiculously long scoring drives despite being down big. 

The final possession last week that required a strip sack to hold on never happens if we burn clock properly during our 5 possessions. 
Snapping with 15-20 seconds left on the play clock, running out of bounds and more.

 

[BWilk55]

The final possession last week that required a strip sack to hold on never happens if we burn clock properly during our 5 possessions. 
Snapping with 15-20 seconds left on the play clock, running out of bounds and more.

So you think we start running clock from the start of the 3rd qtr? That is not how this offense operates, and going that slow isn't going to help the 2nd half offense struggles. Gotta keep running the offense the same way we do in the first half. 

The failure at the end wasn't clock management, rather, it was failing to get that first down on our final possession and that came down to a 3rd down call that got blown to pieces.