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Strong's Last Two Years at L'ville - Stat nerds.

badboy783

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Joined
Dec 9, 2013
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182
Got bored and wanted to take a look at the Cardinals schedule and how it stacked up vs the Big 12 champs, Fiesta Bowl Winners, & BCS National Champion.

Louisville 2012 Numbers - Removed FCS Missouri State

Scoring Offense: - 31.2 (51st) - Scoring Defense; 23.8 (36th) = Difference of 7.4 points

Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced (119, 8, 85, 112, 76, 106, 39, 86, 56, 121, 98, 78)

Avg Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced = 82nd

Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced (87, 53, 91, 116, 23, 57, 14, 88, 46, 19, 4, 5)

Avg Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced = 53rd

Kansas State (Co-Big 12 Champ) 2012 Numbers - Removed FCS Missouri State

Scoring Offense: - 38.8 (11th) - Scoring Defense; 22.2 (28th) = Difference of 16.6 points

Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced (49, 105, 16, 118, 87, 9, 20, 3, 68, 4, 23, 2)

Avg Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced = 42nd

Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced (85, 61, 51, 112, 38, 117, 92, 64, 30, 113, 74, 25)

Avg Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced = 72nd

Oregon (Fiesta Bowl Winner) 2012 Numbers - Removed FCS Tennessee Tech

Scoring Offense: - 49.6 (2nd) - Scoring Defense; 21.6 (25th) = Difference of 28 points

Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced (27, 17, 15, 108, 90, 14, 120, 40, 93, 72, 37, 11)

Avg Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced = 54th

Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced (43, 37, 105, 101, 39, 40, 124, 41, 98, 11, 22, 28)

Avg Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced = 57th

Alabama (National Champion) 2012 Numbers - Removed FCS Western Carolina

Scoring Offense: - 38.7 (12th) - Scoring Defense; 10.9 (1st) = Difference of 27.8 points

Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced (85, 70, 91, 107, 47, 82, 22, 61, 59, 5, 115, 19, 80)

Avg Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced = 65th

Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced (20, 50, 82, 86, 60, 68, 108, 34, 12, 26, 66, 18, 2)

Avg Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced = 45th

-In 2012 I think Louisville got very lucky drawing Florida in the Sugar Bowl. Of all the BCS teams they Florida had the 2nd lowest difference between scoring offense and defense at 12 points. Both teams had a very low margin for error on the offensive side of the ball. Florida's offense never got anything going and Louisville won 33-23.

-The 3rd lowest difference of the BCS teams in 2012 belonged to Notre Dame, who just so happened to get their butts dusted by Alabama who had the 2nd highest difference at 27.8, trailing Oregon by 0.2 pts.

Louisville 2013 Numbers - Removed FCS Eastern Kentucky

Scoring Offense: - 35.2 (25th) - Scoring Defense; 12.2 (2nd) = Difference of 20.3 points

Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced (72, 108, 124, 88, 76, 30, 122, 107, 38, 111, 47, 33)

Avg Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced = 80th

Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced (72, 90, 113, 84, 82, 17, 75, 87, 20, 44, 14, 66)

Avg Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced = 64th

Baylor (Big 12 Champs) 2013 Numbers - Removed FCS Wofford

Scoring Offense: - 52.4 (1st) - Scoring Defense; 23.5 (36th) = Difference of 28.9 points

Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced (54, 101, 78, 37, 89, 120, 40, 23, 14, 87, 65, 30)

Avg Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced = 62nd

Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced (41, 85, 101, 31, 110, 94, 23, 88, 19, 54, 57, 17)

Avg Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced = 60th

UCF (Fiesta Bowl Champs) 2013 Numbers - No FCS Teams

Scoring Offense: - 34.6 (30th) - Scoring Defense; 21.3 (17th) = Difference of 13.3 points

Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced (109, 124, 69, 32. 111, 25, 107, 38, 88, 76, 122, 75, 1)

Avg Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced =75th

Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced (76, 113, 59, 12, 44, 2, 87, 20, 84, 82, 75, 100, 36)

Avg Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced = 61st

Florida State (National Champs) 2013 Numbers - Removed FCS Bethune-Cookman

Scoring Offense: - 51.6 (2nd) - Scoring Defense; 12.1 (1st) = Difference of 39.5 points

Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced (79, 74, 71, 83, 9, 98, 33, 117, 99, 116, 113, 41, 12)

Avg Rank of Scoring Offenses Faced = 73rd

Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced (70, 104, 79, 55, 24, 86, 66, 38, 56, 125, 15, 64, 48)

Avg Rank of Scoring Defenses Faced = 64th

-Take away from it what you want. I just thought the numbers were interesting. The spikes in Louisville's production are mainly do to the schedule being weaker. No doubt there was improvement across the board for them. I think it's apparent that we are going to need to have an explosive offense capable of putting up bigger numbers than we have over the last couple of years. Louisville had struggles against teams with good defenses.

-The Baylor UCF game is a mystery to me.

-Florida State's opponents... yuk! I'm not sure if there's a weaker schedule for a BCS National Champ.

-FSU has the highest differential between scoring offense and defense. 2nd is 2001 Miami, 3rd is 2005 Texas.

-Both FSU and Lousiville faced the same avg ranking of scoring defense at 64th. FSU's offense was 19.1 points better.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Question: looking at the 2013 stats, Why is Louisville's offense scoring 32.5 (25th) while UCF scored 34.6 (30th)? If UCF scored more, how did they rank lower? Interesting stats, by the way!

 
Question: looking at the 2013 stats, Why is Louisville's offense scoring 32.5 (25th) while UCF scored 34.6 (30th)? If UCF scored more, how did they rank lower? Interesting stats, by the way!
Supposed to be 35.2 not 32.5... my bad on the typo. Will edit. Thanks!

 
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