Well, the operative word you used there was "new." For the most part, we're hitting the end of the recruiting year. Not a good time to "start" recruiting someone, even when a coach knows recruits from previous recruiting. There's still a new place to get familiar with in the 11th hour.
So it comes down to relationships this time of year. The kids you see committing have been talking to the same coaches for a year now or better. Sure, you'll see one here and there make a late change. But not many.
Herman still has time to make some noise this cycle. He's got January. I don't expect big things but wouldn't be surprised if he pulled off a surprise or two.