Longhorns Going Bowling, but Where?

[Aaron Carrara]

After defeating the Mountaineers on Saturday in Morgantown, the Longhorns become bowl eligible for the first time since 2014.  The post-season destination for Texas is still up in the air, but will iron itself out based on the results of the last week of the regular season.   Oklahoma is still in the CFP picture but they still have to play in the Big 12 Championship Game.  TCU is likely to be the other team playing in the Big 12 title game.

Regardless of the other happenings, Texas needs to solidify its worth by beating Texas Tech on Friday.  They beat Tech and they should find themselves in a decent bowl - something a few weeks ago looked grim.

Tell us where you think Texas goes bowling in our poll.

 

[TexExSpur]

If they finish 7-5, 6-3 in conference and the Alamo takes the Pokes.  I don't see why they would decline a trip to Orlando simply to play in Houston and I think the Camping World committee would jump on it.  We already know the SEC won't pin the Aggies against them.

It's the Alamo or Orlando.

 

[North Texas Golfer]

Don't know where we're going but did read elsewhere some thoughts saying the Liberty Bowl would be the best place for Texas and more exposure as it's on ESPN and in prime time. Don't know if that's accurate but sounds like a logical thought. 

 

[DBut82]

What conference tie ins does the Cotton Bowl have?

 

[Hiwood]

where we want them to go and where they are contractually bound to go might be two different things.....

 

[DBut82]

Well, according to this, it'll most likely be the Camping World Bowl in Orlando vs the #2 ACC squad:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bids_to_college_bowl_games#Big_12_Conference

 

[Huskie1]

Well, according to this, it'll most likely be the Camping World Bowl in Orlando vs the #2 ACC squad:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bids_to_college_bowl_games#Big_12_Conference

I'm sure the guys wouldn't mind a trip to Orlando.

 

[dillohorn]

Anywhere but aggy.

 

[TexExSpur]

What conference tie ins does the Cotton Bowl have?

New Year's six bowl  TCU likely ends up in the Cotton.  Or, Peach/Fiesta.

 

[hookemhorb]

I'm guessing Texas Bowl. If OU beats TCU I think TCU drops out of the New Year's Eve bowls and falls to the Alamo bowl.

 

[okiehorn]

Well, according to this, it'll most likely be the Camping World Bowl in Orlando vs the #2 ACC squad:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bids_to_college_bowl_games#Big_12_Conference

Soooo who’s the #2 ACC squad lookin like?

 

[Adferrum]

Soooo who’s the #2 ACC squad lookin like?

Wouldn't that be either Clemson or Miami, depending on who wins the title game and goes to the CFP? That would be both intriguing and very challenging. But in order for us to be #3, OSU would have to lose to Kansas. So my money is on the Texas Bowl, if I'd had to guess I'd say against Mississippi State

 

[okiehorn]

Wouldn't that be either Clemson or Miami, depending on who wins the title game and goes to the CFP? That would be both intriguing and very challenging. But in order for us to be #3, OSU would have to lose to Kansas. So my money is on the Texas Bowl, if I'd had to guess I'd say against Mississippi State

Man that’d be a huge game but to be honest it doesn’t scare me. This Texas team has it in em to play with anyone. They have proved it. Maybe not by the record but game by game they have been in it to win it. I’m with you though, we won’t make it to #3 

 

[tejasrulz]

Alamo. I thought I saw on the local (Austin) news that they had 1st choice. Texas would sell a lot of tickets being so close and the fact they haven't been bowling in awhile.

 

[RunRickyRun]

If we beat Tech it will be Alamo or the camping world bowl if we lose it’s the texas bowl or liberty bowl.

 

[utb040713]

So I was having this debate in another forum yesterday, although I've revised my analysis a bit since then. Here's my thoughts:

From Wikipedia, here's the tie-ins, in order: CFP or NY6 Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Camping World Bowl, Texas Bowl, Liberty Bowl, Cactus Bowl, and Heart of Dallas Bowl. Also, there's the at-large bids for Cotton/Fiesta/Peach Bowl.

My guess would be that OU will make the CFP, and TCU has a good chance at an at-large bid. I think Oklahoma State would almost certainly get selected next, which would be the Alamo Bowl if TCU gets an at-large bid. If UT wins next weekend, I'd say we'd almost certainly get selected ahead of WVU due to beating them head-to-head, and name recognition. If ISU wins next weekend, it would be tough to say who gets selected next, since they will have an 8-4 record vs our 7-5 record.

If UT wins and ISU loses, I believe UT would go to the Camping World Bowl (if TCU gets an at-large bid) or the Texas Bowl (if TCU doesn't get a bid).

If UT wins *and* ISU wins, Texas will most likely go to either the Camping World Bowl, the Texas Bowl, or the Liberty Bowl, depending on TCU's status and whether ISU gets selected ahead of UT.

If UT loses next weekend, we would probably be looking at either the Cactus Bowl or the Liberty Bowl.

Now, if we take a Bayesian approach and assume that UT's odds of beating TTU are 75%, ISU's odds of beating KSU are 50%, TCU's odds of getting an at-large bid are 50%, and both KSU and ISU have a 50% chance of getting selected ahead of us if they end up with 1 more win than us, here's the probability of UT making each bowl:

Camping World Bowl: 28%

Texas Bowl: 37%

Liberty Bowl: 28%

Cactus Bowl: 6%

 

[utb040713]

Wouldn't that be either Clemson or Miami, depending on who wins the title game and goes to the CFP? That would be both intriguing and very challenging. But in order for us to be #3, OSU would have to lose to Kansas. So my money is on the Texas Bowl, if I'd had to guess I'd say against Mississippi State

I think the loser of the Clemson/Miami game would get an at-large bid to the Orange Bowl. That would mean the #3 ACC team would go to the Camping World Bowl, which would most likely be Virginia Tech.

 

[Sirhornsalot]

So I was having this debate in another forum yesterday, although I've revised my analysis a bit since then. Here's my thoughts:

From Wikipedia, here's the tie-ins, in order: CFP or NY6 Bowl, Alamo Bowl, Camping World Bowl, Texas Bowl, Liberty Bowl, Cactus Bowl, and Heart of Dallas Bowl. Also, there's the at-large bids for Cotton/Fiesta/Peach Bowl.

My guess would be that OU will make the CFP, and TCU has a good chance at an at-large bid. I think Oklahoma State would almost certainly get selected next, which would be the Alamo Bowl if TCU gets an at-large bid. If UT wins next weekend, I'd say we'd almost certainly get selected ahead of WVU due to beating them head-to-head, and name recognition. If ISU wins next weekend, it would be tough to say who gets selected next, since they will have an 8-4 record vs our 7-5 record.

If UT wins and ISU loses, I believe UT would go to the Camping World Bowl (if TCU gets an at-large bid) or the Texas Bowl (if TCU doesn't get a bid).

If UT wins *and* ISU wins, Texas will most likely go to either the Camping World Bowl, the Texas Bowl, or the Liberty Bowl, depending on TCU's status and whether ISU gets selected ahead of UT.

If UT loses next weekend, we would probably be looking at either the Cactus Bowl or the Liberty Bowl.

Now, if we take a Bayesian approach and assume that UT's odds of beating TTU are 75%, ISU's odds of beating KSU are 50%, TCU's odds of getting an at-large bid are 50%, and both KSU and ISU have a 50% chance of getting selected ahead of us if they end up with 1 more win than us, here's the probability of UT making each bowl:

Camping World Bowl: 28%

Texas Bowl: 37%

Liberty Bowl: 28%

Cactus Bowl: 6%

Tip of the hat to you for the legwork.

 

[83Dee]

Wouldn't that be either Clemson or Miami, depending on who wins the title game and goes to the CFP? That would be both intriguing and very challenging. But in order for us to be #3, OSU would have to lose to Kansas. So my money is on the Texas Bowl, if I'd had to guess I'd say against Mississippi State

 Correct me if I’m wrong, but I believe bowls choose. It’s not necessarily the next in line according to the order of finish… But who the bowl chooses. 

 In this scenario Texas typically jumps people because of revenue. 

 Unless you’re in the SEC… In that case the conference chooses according to what matchup’s favor sec and so they can keep the illusion that they hold the best team from every state.