This is a misconception, this shouldn't mean less movement, it should add movement. The lower seams means less drag which means more rpms, the more rpms the more snap on a slider, riding action on a four seam fastball, and sink on a 2 seam fastball. This is actually a win win situation.
yay. well, this should at least give us warning track power now.
still think the fences should be brought in fifteen feet or so (or the bats adjusted), but this is a great first step in restoring the game to compensate for those atrocious bats. i'm still completely pissed at the NCAA for mismanaging this so badly, but this is definitely a step in the right direction. what's new? i stay pissed at the ncaa anyway.
it will certainly add to the homerun total, but without pulling in the fences, i'm not sure how much. where its going to make a bigger difference IMO is in the batting averages because its going to force outfielders to play back at their normal depth so it will expand the area for base hits and line drives to drop. this will directly impact run scoring. homeruns will go up, but more importantly, averages will go up.
pitchers will adjust and some of them may find an advantage to the new ball, but overall two things are going to change. ERA's are going to go up and batting averages are going to go up. as a result, scoring will increase. it will actually be sort of cool to map the effects because it will be just this one change impacting all of this.
it will be interesting to see how much. i'm a little dubious at the 15% claim but until we seem what the effect really is we won't know. i'm betting more like 8-10%. that's still going to add 30 feet to a well batted ball. any increase is a good thing though.
i'm happy about this obviously. i still think the bats need adjustment or the fences need adjustment. one or the other. and the guy who thought the bats were a good idea needs to be tarred and feathered and sent on his way.