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If I'm Patterson, here is my process...

Longhornleghorn

Under Contract
Joined
Nov 5, 2013
Messages
45
Hiring the football coach at one of the top programs in the country is similar to making an executive hire (CEO, President) at a Fortune 500 company. And, because it is Texas - the most valuable program in the country in terms of profitability and revenue - you are making a hire for the arguably the most prominent program. Companies that hire a new CEO have lots of stakeholders to appease: board of directors, fellow executives, shareholders, staff / team, financial press, etc. Making a hire at Texas for the football coach is very similar, but the pieces are just labeled with different titles: board of regents, president Powers, donors, fans, team, press, etc. You aren't going to appease everyone with a hire, and you don't place the same priority on serving all interested constituencies.

With that in mind, my first order of business would be to buy some time and establish some cover for the big moves that need to be made. You hire a search firm to help lengthen the time frame on the process, and their vetting of the candidates takes some political pressure off your moves, as you are not acting unilaterally. Second, you establish an advisory committee representing many of the factions you need to appease. Again, this helps provide cover for a protracted process, preventing the appearance that you are acting unilaterally. And, the advisory committee helps build some consensus amongst the influential groups regarding the hire while also spreading some of the responsibility for the final decision and likely tremendous amount of money that will be required to pull it off. At a public institution like Texas already embroiled in a internal power struggle, this last part is crucial.

Now that you have established a process that will provide cover in terms of timeline (protracted due to search firm and committee) and some political cover with the appearance of making an informed, bilateral decision, you can get to work. The core issue is that some of your homerun hire candidates are tied up with important games in the NFL or bowls (BCS) until at least JAN 6th. You can't spend four weeks waiting on your candidate to free up without it becoming nationwide news, and potentially scuttling a big hire. So, you talk to the big dogs behind the scenes to gauge interest and float numbers / requirements while interviewing the secondary candidates as they become available. I wouldn't intentionally leak any information or create smokescreens, as the mere act that you are vetting and interviewing candidates is going to leak out.

With that process established, here's how I would approach the hire, pulling out some of the candidates we believe have told us "no" informally:

Tier One (in no particular order)

Saban (available JAN 3)

John Harbaugh (available now)

Fisher (available JAN 6)

Tier Two (in no particular order; to be interviewed formally as available)

Strong (available now)

Briles (available now)

Franklin (available JAN 4)

Dantonio (available now)

Mora Jr. (available now)

Malzahn (available now)

Wild Cards (could move up into Tier One based upon interview)

Jon Gruden

So, at this point, I'm back channeling negotiations with the Tier One candidates. If I can get one of them to commit, we move to a contract offer / specifics. If I have to wait for one or all of them to finish their commitments, I continue vetting the Tier Two and Wild Card candidates via the search firm and formal interviews. I'm prioritizing the candidates based upon interest and my evaluation of the fit.

As soon as I know the Tier One guys are not going to happen, I'm sealing the deal with my top Tier Two or Wild Card candidate. And, it is important to note that with the exception of Briles and Dantonio (who played in BCS bowls), the rest of these candidates could have been hired at any time leading up to this process. There is no reason to wait, unless one of the big fish is still on the line.

Which, leaves us where we are now: lots of chatter about candidates being interviewed and their interest level. We aren't hearing much about the Tier One candidates, because they are still distracted with big games, and their pitches are more complex. It is JAN 2, and if I'm Patterson and haven't made a hire yet, I either have a Tier One guy on the line and am waiting for their availability to open, or I've been told "no" by my Tier One crew and have been waiting on Briles and Dantonio to free up from their BCS games.

And, just for closure and to add my two cents, here's how I'd rank the candidates above: Saban, Harbaugh, Fisher, Gruden, Dantonio, Mora Jr., Briles, Strong, Malzahn, Franklin. Honestly, I would be really tempted to pursue Malzahn, but I am just not comfortable with his sample size in terms of HC experience.

 
This is similiar to my thoughts on what's going on. I don't quite agree on the order but I do agree on the tiers.

It's interesting that the coach who would be the best fit for Texas in terms of offensive philosophy and body of work and who has expressed interest in the job isn't mentioned anymore (Meyer). I'm surprised that he'd emphatically refuse consideration...something to mull.

I really hope that if we're looking at Tier 2 candidates, that we strongly consider Gary Anderson at UW. I also think Malzahn has as much upside as anyone in tier 1 and should be strongly considered as well.

 
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Thanks guys. Definitely an interesting process to watch unfold. I get the sense that only Patterson really knows what is happening...

Acropora - What shocks me about Meyer being taken off the table so quickly in terms of chatter is that he easily could have leveraged this whole deal for a huge raise. If I remember correctly, he is making $4-5M per year. Hard to imagine he couldn't have squeezed OSU up to the $6-7M range, if he was so inclined. After Saban, he is the college coach with the most skins on the wall, and he is at another of the marquee programs yet not in the top three in terms of pay. Makes me think he really must be at his dream job.

 
Thanks guys. Definitely an interesting process to watch unfold. I get the sense that only Patterson really knows what is happening...
Acropora - What shocks me about Meyer being taken off the table so quickly in terms of chatter is that he easily could have leveraged this whole deal for a huge raise. If I remember correctly, he is making $4-5M per year. Hard to imagine he couldn't have squeezed OSU up to the $6-7M range, if he was so inclined. After Saban, he is the college coach with the most skins on the wall, and he is at another of the marquee programs yet not in the top three in terms of pay. Makes me think he really must be at his dream job.
Or that he's the secret hire.... ;)

 
Or that he's the secret hire.... ;)
Haha, maybe!

Was just looking up coaching salary info, and USA today had Meyer at $4.6M and listed as the 6th highest paid coach in the country at the start of 2013, behind Saban, Brown, Bielema (?), Butch Jones, and Bob Stoops. If Saban has just set a new threshold at $7M with his extension and guys like Briles are getting bumped into the $4M range, Meyer has to be thinking that he is under paid at $4.6M at OSU. Am literally shocked that he hasn't been bumped into the $5-6M range with an extension. http://bleacherreport.com/articles/1840036-usa-today-reveals-college-football-head-coaches-salaries-for-every-fbs-school

 
no secret hire we have seen them all. 1st and foremost Saban is #1 until Friday night when he says no, then if Harbaugh comes this Saturday as everybody says then he is #2....after that who knows. short and sweet. yes that is it.

 
Tier Two (in no particular order; to be interviewed formally as available)

Franklin (available JAN 4)
Here is something more on Franklin. Video of their signing day

<iframe width="640" height="390" src="//www.youtube.com/embed/8f0csVsA0NA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

 
Right now, if I'm Patterson, it's puff, puff, pass. I keep repeating this till I have to go get munchies.

 
NO thanks on Franklin. There are other issues with four players arrested from his team that make me not want him anywhere near Texas.

 
Acropora' date=' Gary Anderson is the HC at Wisconsin. Before that he was the HC at Utah State.[/quote']
sorry, you're right of course. my fingers often type faster then my brain works.
 
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