If someone comes up to me and says they have a contact inside the program who told them Saban is signing tonight, I avoid that person. Either they are a liar or they can't be trusted.
I find it tough to believe Saban would sign with UT, but I can't dismiss the rumors, either. The UT athletics program is quickly moving to $200mil in revenue. The reason Texas can spend big money to get the right guy is because getting the wrong guy could cost the program tens of millions annually.
UT athletics employs over 300 people. We need a new MBB coach and a new baseball coach. We suck at using social media to engage fans. Guys like Bill Little need to go. A lot of people need to go. I'm hoping the number of new faces is close to 150.
The new AD is going to have to rebuild a $200 million organization from the ground up. He is going to need to bring with him people he trusts. There is no way he will hire a head coach without direct experience running a major college program or someone he doesn't have an existing relationship with. Mack will have to sign on to help the new coach deal with the big donors.
Who are the people who fit that description? Not Tomlin, not Gruden, not any coordinator. The list is Saban, Holgerson, shaw and maybe Briles. Holgerson isn't coming. Briles isn't going to want to have Mack roaming the halls and controlling the relationship with the donors. Shaw and Saban are the two left.
If Texas spends an extra $10mil top bring in Saban, its worth it, because of the cost of getting the wrong guy in the program, Saban knows Mack and Saban probably doesn't want to have to deal with most of the big donors. Saban has known Luck since they were both at WVa in the late 70s.
Someone working through the analysis and making sense of the available info is what we need. I'm curious to see how someone comes to their conclusion, even if the logic jumps because the details are based on info that can't be made public quite yet. That's diametrically opposite of saying someone inside the program has questionable ethics.
I'm not believing Saban is the guy, but if he isn't, other than Shaw, who is?