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CFP Rankings/Playoff Thread

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2 weeks left and it's getting down to the wire. A few teams need to impress the pollsters in order to get into the CFP.

Once again we will start off with the Big 12. With BYU's loss, this pretty much guarrantees only 1 team from the Big 12 will make the CFP. I don't think the loser of the Big 12 CCG, a 2 loss BYU or a 3 loss TBD is going to get a bid to the CFP. They would need help from other conferences to get a 2nd team. Notre Dame will be taking their 2nd spot provided they beat USC.

The ACC has 3 possible teams that could make the CFP. The Ponies are sitting on top of the ACC and have a fairly "easy" remaining conference schedule. Win and they make the CCG and the CFP regardless of what they do in the CCG. Miami has Wake Forest this week and travel to a dangerous Syracuse team the last week. They are going to need to win both these games to for a shot of the CFP. Clemson has South Carolina at the end of the season. That's a must win game for them or they are out of the playoff picture. I don't know what the tiebreaker rules are for the ACC but if they all win out, the odd team out may be a blessing as they could very well get an invite to the CFP and the loser of the CCG may be out of the playoffs.

So the Big 12 and ACC's CCG could possibly be an elimination game.

There is talk that the winner of the AAC might get the nod for the Group of 5 conference champ. That would be Army or Tulane. I don't really see that happening unless Boise St losses a game (unlikely, but you never know). Boise St is ranked ahead of both those teams and unless Army beats ND, neither Army or Tulane will jump Boise.

The Big 10 has 4 teams vying for spots in the CFP. The big game will be Indiana vs OSU this week. A competitive game and they both make the CFP. A blow out and the loser is at the mercy of the polls to get into the CFP. Penn St needs to win it's last 2 games and with their #4 ranking, they'll easily get an invite to the CFP. Oregon is pretty much in the CFP whether they beat Washington or not. I don't see them falling too far should they get upset. Again not sure what the tiebreaker rules are for the Big 10, but the loser of the CCG may be out, if it is their 2nd loss. A 4th team could go to the CFP but with Notre Dame ranked in the top 10 I don't see that happening.

As far as the SEC and the CFP go, I'm pretty sure 4 teams will get in. I don't know who but there will be a couple of teams that will get their feelings hurt. The loser of the CCG might be out. The pollsters are keeping the teams close so I'm not sure how the committee will handle the losers of the CCG. Is the CCG an elimination game?
 
The Big 10 has 4 teams vying for spots in the CFP. The big game will be Indiana vs OSU this week. A competitive game and they both make the CFP. A blow out and the loser is at the mercy of the polls to get into the CFP. Penn St needs to win it's last 2 games and with their #4 ranking, they'll easily get an invite to the CFP. Oregon is pretty much in the CFP whether they beat Washington or not. I don't see them falling too far should they get upset. Again not sure what the tiebreaker rules are for the Big 10, but the loser of the CCG may be out, if it is their 2nd loss. A 4th team could go to the CFP but with Notre Dame ranked in the top 10 I don't see that happening.

If Oregon and Ohio State meet again the CCG, OSU will win that one. IMO
 
New, revised playoff rankings for week of Nov. 19

  1. Oregon
  2. Ohio State
  3. Texas
  4. Penn State
  5. Indiana
  6. Notre Dame
  7. Alabama
  8. Miami
  9. Ole Miss
  10. Georgia
  11. Tennessee
  12. Boise State
  13. SMU
  14. BYU
  15. Texas A&M
  16. Colorado
  17. Clemson
  18. South Carolina
  19. Army
  20. Tulane
  21. Arizona State
  22. Iowa State
  23. Missouri
  24. UNLV
  25. Illinois
 
Ohio St and Georgia have the easiest path to semifinals
 
Hate say but our SOS or resume is no better at this time than Indiana. We will not be left out even if we lose to doggies. We are now in SEC
 
Hate say but our SOS or resume is no better at this time than Indiana. We will not be left out even if we lose to doggies. We are now in SEC

Yes and no. Look at these rankings.
Strength of Record - Texas 5, Indiana 6 (this only takes into account Wins and Loses)
Football Power Index - Texas 1, Indiana 11 (factors in style points)
Strength of Schedule - Texas 38, Indiana 106!
Game Control - Texas 4, Indiana 5 (the chance that a top 25 team would control games from start to finish)

Both teams have had slightly easier schedules compared to SEC counterparts (Big 10 teams all have easier SOS) and both teams have dominated the competition.

Interestingly both teams have the toughest remaining SOS out of any top 12 teams (Texas 5, Indiana 4th (A&M 3rd)) so the talking points, especially about SOS for Texas will become moot after the final 2 weeks of the season.
 

Yes and no. Look at these rankings.
Strength of Record - Texas 5, Indiana 6 (this only takes into account Wins and Loses)
Football Power Index - Texas 1, Indiana 11 (factors in style points)
Strength of Schedule - Texas 38, Indiana 106!
Game Control - Texas 4, Indiana 5 (the chance that a top 25 team would control games from start to finish)

Both teams have had slightly easier schedules compared to SEC counterparts (Big 10 teams all have easier SOS) and both teams have dominated the competition.

Interestingly both teams have the toughest remaining SOS out of any top 12 teams (Texas 5, Indiana 4th (A&M 3rd)) so the talking points, especially about SOS for Texas will become moot after the final 2 weeks of the season.
Texas #38 SoS! WOW! We beat Michigan which lost to Indiana. Is our best win Vandy?lf Florida would have been healthy or with Lagway and beat them, that to me would biggest win. Unless Quinn plays lot better,we have possibility of exting early out playoff. We get in because were are Texas & in SEC & there's always possibility of Quinn playing like did against UTSA,CSU.
 
Unless Quinn plays lot better,we have possibility of exting early out playoff. We get in because were are Texas & in SEC & there's always possibility of Quinn playing like did against UTSA,CSU.
The goal is to get into the CFP. It doesn't matter how, just get in.

It seems to me that the object of the CFP is to get the top teams into the playoffs so whoever we play should be a tougher game than 80% of our games. Plus unless we get a bye, they will have 2 weeks to prepare for us, as we will have 2 weeks to prepare for them. So in theory, every playoff game will be a "tough" game.
 
Is our best win Vandy?
Seems like a few rankings systems (FPI which I linked above and Kford) have OU and Florida ranked right around number 25 with Arkansas closer to 30 and Vandy/Michigan around 40.

These are all quality wins against teams ranked in the top quarter of the country, just not teams ranked in the top 25.
 
I said before the season began that I feared that trip to Arkansas. They've got some players who can play.

As for aggy, just spy Marcel Reed, shut down the run and make Reed beat you with his arm.
 
I said before the season began that I feared that trip to Arkansas. They've got some players who can play.

As for aggy, just spy Marcel Reed, shut down the run and make Reed beat you with his arm.
We need the same game plan they implemented against piggy.
 
I'm sure you are solely referring to the defensive game plan.
Yes. SHA's post about spying the QB and stuffing the run is exactly what Texas did against piggy.
If we do that, Texas and Ewers should be able to generate enough points to win. AND if Sark is right and Quinn is the healthiest since his oblique injury, that should bode well for the offense as long as we can establish a run game.
 
Best part of Ags team is their d-line. They got some mean dudes on that line.
Keeping them off Quinn ain’t gonna be easy.
Sark needs to game plan some screens and slants/draws to help keep the pocket clean.
If we get in a position where we have to pass, it could get ugly
 
Best part of Ags team is their d-line. They got some mean dudes on that line.
Keeping them off Quinn ain’t gonna be easy.
Sark needs to game plan some screens and slants/draws to help keep the pocket clean.
If we get in a position where we have to pass, it could get ugly
They don't sack the the QB as well as their TFL rate. Quinn needs to be on in this game. Hit one or two deep balls and the game is over.
 
I saw the South Carolina game. They put a LOT of pressure on the qb.
The qb for SC did an unbelievable job of escaping those guys.
Quinn does not have that capability. He needs some time.
 
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