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  1. P

    Guido...& LSU perspective

    Ed Orgeron is an alcoholic.  His problems are very well known.  He is very open about it and is proud that he has been dry for many years now.
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    Guido...& LSU perspective

    I often visit opposing teams' boards.  A few on this board are reasonable; others, present company included, are pretty low.
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    Guido...& LSU perspective

    LSU junior safety JaCoby Stevens said the Tigers have learned a lesson after giving up the most passing yards in nearly a decade. At first it will sound cliché. Glib, even. "I feel like we need to respect our opponents," Stevens said Monday. Told you. Hold on — don't close the web...
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    Longhorn News/Discussion (Non-Recruiting)

    Two former LSU players, one a talk show host the other on LSU staff, who were in the locker room after the game just confirmed the report that the a/c wasn't cooling. Too many saying this for it to be a conspiracy, a lie would be exposed by someone. Would be easy for someone to slip in the...
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    Future of College Football Power

    A few schools have what is needed to compete at the highest level: money, commitment, coaching, facilities, recruiting base/ability, etc. In the near future I see the following as powers: Clem, UGA, bama, UF, LSU, UTx, Tamu, OU, tOSU, ND, UMich. USC is now a dumpster fire but they will return...
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    Guido...& LSU perspective

    NOTES FROM LSU: Coach Ed Orgeron earned the Dodd Trophy as coach of the week. Orgeron now has a 27-9 record at LSU, which includes a dozen wins over teams ranked in the top 25. Orgeron said we’re not going to see DEs Glen Logan or Rashard Lawrence this week, and that outside...
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    Guido...& LSU perspective

    Guido said LSU -6.5 and LSU had 70% chance of win. Dead on on both, points as close as possible and IMO if they played 10 times LSU would win 7 times. ********************************* LSU rushed slow to prevent Sam from running and because they didn't fear his throwing nearly as much as his...
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    Good Luck

    Hope Horns come out of the game OK and kik azz the rest of the season. Hope my TIGERS do a little better. Expect a serious battle, hopefully no one gets hurt. See you in BR next year.
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    Why LSU is a 5 pt favorite

    The 30% chance is based on the money line.  To bet on LSU one must lay 260 to win 100.  Bet on UTx and lay 100 to win 210.  That projects to ~ 70-30% chances to win. If somebody put up a line today at LSU -3 or UTx +10, Guido would bet.
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    what to expect Sat

    The line is established by the bookies, then a few top pro bettors are allowed to bet at it.  It is then moved before being put up for the general public. If Joe know-nothing makes a big bet, the line probably don't change.  If a known guy makes a smaller bet, the line might change. Sometimes...
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    what to expect Sat

    Actually the house advantage at 11/10 is 4.76%. And there are some very smart people who try to beat sports betting.  Many use computers and crunch numbers.  Not many are successful. As for the limit on bets, some years ago the LVHilton took "$30k to the number"  After a $30k bet they had the...
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    what to expect Sat

    Sorry but I know that those guys make lines that I cannot beat.
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    what to expect Sat

    LV lines are set by very smart folks.  They are then bet by very smart folks. If you believe the SEC teams get special preference and are overrated by the bookies you should be able to make a fortune betting against their bias.  But you can't, very smart people devote their lives to beating the...
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    what to expect Sat

    NOT trying to convince anyone of anything.  Just stating the best opinion available, more than once because it is changing.  Would post it the other way too. Don't expect reassurance, hoped for intelligent conversation which is often available on other teams' boards. Don't know, don't care...
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    what to expect Sat

    No one knows what the outcome will be, but the best estimate available BEFORE the game is played is the betting line. The smart guys didn't say you had no chance vs UGA, they said you had maybe a 20% chance (don't remember the money line).  That means that you won when unexpected, in that game...
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    what to expect Sat

    Now LSU -6.5, -260, 210...means 70% chance of LSU Win CORRECTION:  Someone said I am telling why LSU will win.  That is not the case, I am explaining why LSU is a big favorite on the road vs a Top Ten team.  Per the smartest guys in the world on this game, LSU has a 30% chance of losing.
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    what to expect Sat

    First the Objective, the best prediction available, by the guys who will let you bet your house against their opinions: LSU -6, -240, +200.   LV bookies say LSU has a 69% chance of winning, UTx a 31% chance. LSU has one glaring weakness, their OL.  Experienced but not up to championship level...
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    Why LSU is a 5 pt favorite

    ENVY you guys in Austin for having this game.  LOVE the way a Top Ten matchup lights up a city.  Last year LSU played 5 Top Ten teams (at the time of the game) and two more ranked teams.  When the game is in BR everything is electric.  By Thurs things on campus are humming.  Fri sees RVs on...
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    Why LSU is a 5 pt favorite

    Quite likely it will be a close, severe battle.  I don't have opinions on outcome, don't bet, because the guys who make the lines know far more than I ever will.  I just repeat what I see and read, and know what they quote is the best available opinion. Their opinion is that LSU has a 66%...
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