I won’t repeat my rant from last week. This team is close — objectively closer than they’ve been in years. (Eleven of their 21 losses the past three seasons came by 14 points or more. There’s some teams left on the schedule that could pull that off, but it hasn’t happened yet.) The offensive coaches aren’t doing a good job. The players aren’t taking advantage of enough opportunities either. Let’s rip the Band-Aid off and start there.
Side note: I’m throwing this together in a hurry because I’m preparing to move across an ocean later this week. I gave the videos a lot of attention but the text was rushed at the end. At least you’re not paying $9.95/mo. for this.
The Last Play
Yes, this was the same route concept against man coverage that Clemson used to beat Alabama in the national championship last year. I hate the idea of running it to the left, but if I’m stretching for excuses, maybe there were defensive tendencies the coaches factored into their decision. Seeing the play-call and knowing that Reggie Hemphill-Mapps was out, the personnel makes more sense than it did at the time: Collin Johnson would have been a decoy where Dorian Leonard lined up; Lorenzo Joe is a smart player who they thought could execute the pick; and Jerrod Heard was the next man up after Hemphill-Mapps. I like the idea of having Lil’Jordan Humphrey out there somewhere, but that’s not egregious in my opinion.
Guess I'll go ahead and tweet out this video I was gonna use for my breakdown since Tom ruined it. Even with bad angle, Heard was open. pic.twitter.com/N3kSJ4dhN3
— Ryan Bridges (@RyanBridgesCFB) October 23, 2017
Two man defenders lined up at the same level against receivers with tight splits are begging to be picked. Heard did not take a good angle but he was still briefly open because his man had to bend around his teammate. I’m not interested in arguing about degrees of openness or whether the result would have been 1st & Goal or touchdown — this ball has to come out.
P.J. Locke had a chance to recover the fumble at the 1-yard line on the drive that ended with the game-tying field goal, but someone blew a whistle, so I can’t blame him too much. There were also like four dropped passes on offense, and this offense isn’t good enough to drop passes. But let’s look at the two missed interceptions, because there’s some interesting schematic stuff.
The first play is a good example of what makes Todd Orlando’s defense so confusing to offenses. The boundary side is playing Cover 2 and the field side is playing Quarters. That’s nothing fancy. Four players will be rushing the quarterback. You’d expect it to be the three down linemen and a linebacker — it’s almost always been Malik Jefferson. Instead, Charles Omenihu drops into the middle hook, Gary Johnson blitzes the B gap and John Bonney blitzes off the edge. I’m not sure what Mason Rudolph was thinking, but this throw was never going to be a good idea. An interception there gives Texas the ball at its own 39 or 40; after the punt, they took over at the -19. The receiver did a great job becoming a defender, though.
The implications of the second drop, which was truly a drop, were much worse. Texas’ offense would have taken over at the Oklahoma State 36 with 1:07 left to play — four more yards and they’d be in range to attempt to replicate Josh Rowland’s season long of 49 yards. The defensive call exemplifies what the defense did most of the game: rushing three and playing three-deep, five-under zone coverage. Much like opposing teams have been doing to Texas’ offense, the Longhorns defense challenged Oklahoma State to run the ball, and they couldn’t consistently do it.
Coverage Sacks and Quickness Sacks
Breckyn “Brecklyn” Hager is a one-trick pony, but he’s probably the best on the team at that trick.
The first of Hager’s two sacks was the definition of a coverage sack (Rudolph had close to six seconds in the pocket). This drive was Oklahoma State’s chance to answer Texas’ touchdown. It was 3rd & 4 near midfield, and Texas was playing Cover 2. There’s absolutely no one open. Good job, good effort.
Hager’s second sack came in an equally critical situation. Without it, the Cowboys may have been able to attempt a field goal to end the half or get into range to run a play other than a Hail Mary. Note that it’s a three-man rush again with three-deep, five-under coverage on the back end. It’s a huge advantage for a defense if it has a pass rusher who can win one-on-ones when he gets them.
Malik’s Game-Saving Tackle
Last week, Naashon Hughes and Malik Jefferson teamed up to make back-to-back tackles that gave Texas’ offense the ball and a chance to win the game. Malik did it again on Saturday.
3rd & 3 at the Texas 13, five minutes left in the game. Oklahoma State runs zone read, with Rudolph pulling the ball and trying to run off-tackle. Technically, Bonney would be responsible for the quarterback, but he’s nine yards deep. Malik has the frontside A gap, but when he sees Rudolph pull the football, he scrapes over the top and makes the open-field tackle. The result: OK State attempted, and missed, a 29-yard field goal.
It seemed like Texas had more lucky breaks go against it than in its favor — especially when it came to the officiating — but it caught a break here.
They’re again running their three-deep, five-under zone. Oklahoma State is in a 3×1 set. They run four verticals, with the #3 receiver occupying the deep middle defender (Bonney). This puts Brandon Jones over the top of the #2 and #1 receivers, but fortunately he has the cornerback and nickel trailing them. In theory, this should force Rudolph to float the ball over the shallow defenders, hopefully giving Jones time to intersect the route.
Somehow, Jones is slow to react to the throw. Splicing the two shots together, we know Rudolph started his throwing motion when the receiver was between the 35- and 30-yard lines. The ball looks to be at least two-thirds of the way there as Jones is planting his foot in response. Almost certainly he wasn’t disciplined with his eyes. And I don’t know what was wrong with his cleats, but he’s way too athletic to be stumbling and slipping around out there like he was.
Speaking of poor eye discipline, for the second straight week we have a Texas DB looking for the football while out of phase with the receiver, enabling the receiver to get even more separation. The ball isn’t going to you, it’s going to him — focus your energy on catching up.
Locke seemed like he had a rough game again. He was tentative against the run on Oklahoma State’s lone touchdown, getting owned by a receiver who gave up 30 pounds to him.
What I’ve seen of Malcolm Roach at defensive end this season has been mostly disappointing. He should get stronger, but he just hasn’t looked like the same player that he was playing in space as a freshman. He didn’t read his key on this 3rd down on a drive that led to the game-tying field goal.
He’s supposed to drop back into the middle hook area, but only if he reads pass. He has to play the run first. He abandons the edge, and the Cowboys narrowly convert.
Here’s a more positive play by the defensive front — one that potentially saved Texas from falling behind by 14 in the early second quarter.
OSU runs outside zone, and Texas slants that way and brings a blitz off the backside edge. Poona Ford is a goddamn monster, breaks through and forces the cutback, right into the waiting arms of Chris Nelson. First man wraps up, second man rips at the football. Hell of a play.
Every game, Ehlinger has made a number of plays that Shane Buechele can’t make. Against Oklahoma State, he made fewer of those types of plays than he had in any previous game. I don’t know whether that was due to linger effects from the totally-not-a-concussion he suffered last week, or whether it was because there’s enough tape on him now that defenses have him figured out (the same thing that happened with Heard and Buechele).
Still, it’s hard to look good behind this offensive line.
They had worked their way downfield behind a couple of nice runs by Ehlinger and had converted a 4th down, putting them inside the OSU 30. Then the right side of the line does this. The splits is not a good position to start a play for any player. Terrell Cuney gave it a shot anyway. Then he kicked it up a notch by not helping Derek Kerstetter at all. Against a twist stunt, it’s not enough to give the lineman a friendly nudge in your teammate’s direction. I’m running out of time to type more notes, so briefly, OSU’s coverage to the trips side was interesting — they were trying hard to take away the WR screen, but Texas had Hemphill coming across the formation for a quasi screen anyway. Sam’s got to throw this ball away.
And briefly, the touchdown. I haven’t been able to find this cable cam view in the high-quality version of the game that I saved, so here it is in potato definition.
I guess because this play yielded points once, Tim Beck decided to try it a hundred more times. I don’t know. I don’t think it worked again. But let’s celebrate the time when a two-yard gain on it was enough for six points.
Seahorn’s Five Thoughts: Tulsa
Texas turned in a rough performance, and the road ahead only gets tougher
Here are a few thoughts from the hip on the lackluster win against the Golden Hurricane this evening in Austin.
The Lack of Killer Instinct
This team still has not figured out how to beat up on an inferior opponent and step on the throat when the opportunity presents itself. This Tulsa team won two games last year and on paper isn’t even close to the talent level of Texas. Yet after shutting Tulsa out in the first half, the Golden Hurricane managed to rally and make this a close game when Texas sputtered on offense and the defense finally started breaking after bending on several occasions in the red zone.
This was a game that Texas was supposed to be able build an early lead, get the starters out, and allow your reserves to get some valuable live game reps and that was never able to happen. If you can’t beat up on a team that probably cashed a check to come play in Austin this weekend, then I don’t even want to begin to think what will happen when USC rolls into town.
Feed Keontay Ingram
Every time number 26 in burnt orange and white touches the ball, he flashes. The talent he shows is undeniable and he once again found himself in the end zone this week. Ingram received more carries, but I still want to see him get the ball put in his belly because it’s obvious he can be a play maker for this offense, but just needs the opportunities.
This is nothing against Tre Watson, who had a solid night at the office, but Ingram is the long-term bell cow back for this offense and his development needs to be put on the express lane going forward.
This Isn’t Last Year’s Defense
I expected the defense to struggle some against Maryland, but I was not expecting some of the struggles I saw tonight. This game was a few missed field goals and some dropped passes away from looking very different and would have swung the game in favor of the Golden Hurricane. On one hand you want to commend the defense for bowing its neck on several occasions early on and keeping Tulsa off the board, but on the other side of the coin they conceded several big plays and 4th down conversions down the home stretch that allowed Tulsa to stay on the field and make it a game.
Another thing to note is that Texas once again struggled to get pressure on the quarterback and didn’t record a sack when the defensive front was expected to be a strength coming into the season. None of this bodes particularly well, as the schedule only gets tougher going forward.
The Future Is Bright At Safety
A bright spot from tonight that I have to mention is the highlight plays made by freshmen safeties Caden Sterns and BJ Foster. Both former five star recruits have forced their way onto the field early and both came away with interceptions tonight. It’s hard to understate how difficult it is to see the field so early at a position that requires so much cerebral awareness, but so far Foster and Sterns have taken to it like fish to water and have rewarded the defense staff with some solid play the first two weeks.
Offensive Line Performance
While the offense still has some kinks to work out, the offensive turned in a pretty solid performance and once again provided Sam Ehlinger with good protection and kept him clean. On top of keeping Ehlinger off his back, the big fellas up front paved the way for the run game to the tune of 241 yards at 5 yards per carry. Texas will take that all day and twice on Sundays.
While this game will certainly be graded on a curve because of the opponent, it is encouraging to see this unit playing much better than they did last year and that will be very beneficial for offense as they try to hit their stride.
Seahorn’s Five Thoughts Following The Loss To Maryland
For the second year in a row the Longhorns fell to the Maryland Terrrapins, and for the second year in a row the Texas staff and players find themselves trying to figure out what went wrong in the season opener. The frustration was obvious in the post-game availability with players and coaches, but this frustration is something that Longhorn players and fans alike have come to know for several years now.
Like last year, the Longhorns will have to find a way to put this tough loss behind them and circle the wagons as they prepare to take on Tulsa the week before hosting USC. I know folks are going to focus on the negatives after a game like this, but I am going to try to highlight some of the positives to take away from today’s game.
I”ll start with a positive observation. While the offensive line struggled to consistently open holes and establish a new line of scrimmage, I can say the pass protection certainly looked much better in week one this year compared to last year. Sam Ehlinger didn’t find himself under constant pressure, and when he did he was typically able to use his feet to escape and make a play or get rid of the ball. The lone sack appeared to to be a coverage sack in which Ehlinger was forced to hold the ball much longer than he would have liked, and pressure eventually got him.
The offensive line obviously still has a lot of work to do in the run-game, but seeing them doing a good job of giving Ehlinger a consistent pocket to work with is encouraging to see early on.
Responding To Adversity
With the game starting how it did I have to say it was encouraging to see the team buckle down and claw their way back into the game when things could have easily gotten out of hand. It may have not have resulted in a win today, but the team showing that they are willing to scrap and continue to fight to the final whistle is something you want to see. I know this will sound like a moral victory or something of the like, but I was worried things were going to spiral early and get ugly. The team showed they could bow their neck and hit back after taking it on the chin early.
Turnovers and Penalties
Okay it’s time for some negatives. Turnovers and penalties were absolute killers. I started praising the offense because they did a good job of protecting the ball in the first half, and then they turned turned it over three consecutive times on the final three drives of the game. They had plenty of opportunities to take the lead late in the game. One of those a was an interception in which Ehlinger’s hand was hit as he threw, so I will give him a little bit of grace. But Ehlinger’s second interception and the fumble by Tre Watson are things that just can’t happen at that point in any game. Those mistakes were absolutely brutal considering the Longhorns were moving the ball down the field. Those turnovers ended up being the deciding factor at the end of the day, and it will be something that will frustrates the staff and players when they turn the film on tomorrow. Also, this team is developing a bad habit of turning the football over in crunch-time and that has to stop if they expect to start pulling out some of these nail-biters.
Regarding penalties, the most impactful one was Gary Johnson’s targeting called. Johnson was ejected as a result and wouldn’t return for the remainder of the game. There were also several other penalties that extended drives for Maryland. At the end of it, Texas had 10 penalties that went for 102 yards. In a game as tight as this one was, that can be a killer.
The Running Back Rotation
One of the more popular topics following today’s game was the use, or lack thereof, of true freshmen running back Keaontay Ingram. Ingram showed some flashes early on in the game, rushing 6 times for 37 yards with a long of 18 yards. Coach Herman said in his post game press conference that he opted to lean on his 5th year senior RB Tre Watson with the game being tight. While I agree it’s a tough spot to put your rookie running back in considering it’s his first college game, I think you still have to try to mix him in there given he was able to find some success early. While there wasn’t a consistent push from the Texas offensive line, it was clear that Watson and Ingram were the most effective of the backs that got touches today.
Obviously it won’t matter if the line doesn’t get better and open holes consistently, but the talent is definitely there and I expect Ingram to become more involved as he gets his feet wet. I’m much more excited about this group than I was last year as a whole.
Third Down Efficiency
3 of 15 on third down conversions will not win you many football games. The must improve drastically in this area and needs to find a way to keep drives alive, or they will end up putting the defense back out on the field often. When facing teams like Maryland, who is content to pound the rock and work the clock as they nickel and dime you up and down the field, you have to find a way to keep the ball out of their hands and give your defense a rest. This ties back into the lack of execution and Texas shooting themselves in the foot, both of which seemed to happen far too often at critical points in today’s game.
Staff Predictions: Texas vs. Maryland
The HornSports staff anticipates that Texas will be a vastly different team in 2018
Texas is looking to get 2018 started on the right track, after dropping last season’s opener to Maryland. Our staff delves into what the Longhorns must do to avenge last year’s loss.
After the debacle last year to open the season, this prediction comes with a bit of a wrinkle for me. We all felt that Texas would win the game and it certainly felt it was heading that way early, but we all know how that ended up playing out.
Chapter two of this series will be interesting because the Terps have dealt with a ton of distractions heading into this matchup and I expect Texas to be dialed in on making hints right after the let down in Austin. With new offensive coordinator Matt Canada calling the shots for Maryland, there could be a bit of a surprise element for the Terps, who have opted not to name a starter at QB.
I expect a better performance from the Longhorns, but I’m in wait and see mode before I predict them handling the Terps as the spread indicates. I’m picking Texas to get redemption, but I think it will be close for most of the way.
Prediction: Texas 28, Maryland 21
Football is finally back! Last year, I predicted the Longhorns to be victorious over Maryland by a final of 35-10. Not the best start.
This year’s rematch features many interesting headlines. It will be interesting to see how Maryland plays with a cloud of uncertainty surrounding their program. Interim head coach Matt Canada has some talent to work with offensively and Maryland proved last year they are not scared of the Longhorns. Despite Texas being dangerously thin at LB, Todd Orlando has earned the benefit of the doubt when it comes to scheming around his personnel.
For Texas on offense, Sam Ehlinger will need to show he has taken the next step in his development. Maryland lost several key players defensively, and an improved offensive line should give Ehlinger time to get the ball to Collin Johnson and Lil’Jordan Humphrey.
I think Maryland will keep it close for a majority of the game, but Texas won’t allow themselves to get embarrassed by the Terrapins for the second year in a row.
Prediction: Texas 31, Maryland 17
Can a sputtering Texas offense get things going early and establish some consistency? That’s been the key question for the last few years and Texas has yet to make us think it can. It’s game one and Ehlinger’s ability to manage the offense will be under the magnifying glass, as will the team’s ability to find a running game. An offensive line with more experience and upperclassmen should help in that effort, especially with the addition of Calvin Anderson at left tackle. I expect the defensive unit to respond early to what will likely amount to a heavy rushing attack from the Terrapins’ dual-threat quarterbacks Tyrrell Pigrome and Kasim Hill. Texas shows signs of rust in this one but wins its opener to start Tom Herman’s second-year campaign at 1-0.
Prediction: Texas 38, Maryland 24
A large advantage Texas has going into round two of this matchup is consistency. For the first time in years, the Longhorns are familiar with scheme on both sides of the ball. The Texas offense has not had the same identity for more than one year in quite some time. This sense of familiarity allows for less time learning in the offseason and more time crafting and perfecting.
For Maryland, the story is different. Head coach DJ Durkin is on administrative leave, and newly implemented offensive coordinator Matt Canada is taking the reigns for week one. Maryland was already tasked with learning a new offensive scheme this offseason, but now they have to play under an entirely different coach.
For the Longhorns, defense should not be an issue, even after losing several key contributors to graduation and the NFL. Todd Orlando knows how to prepare, and the addition of the 2018 class gives the Texas defense the potential to be just as good as last season.
On offense, Sam Ehlinger should be drastically improved in his decision making and awareness in the pocket, and the Texas run game should be on a different level. The addition of graduate transfers Calvin Anderson (LT) and Tre Watson (RB) will add a new dimension to the Longhorns offense.
Although Maryland is no slouch, I expect Texas to be vastly improved from a year ago. This game will be tight, but Texas will pull away late.
Prediction: Texas 38, Maryland 28
Commitment Spotlight: Javonne Shepherd
Pure tackle prospects are hard to find and are always in high demand. Texas learned this the hard way in 2017 once Connor Williams went down and they were forced to play some guys out of position on both edges of their offensive line.
Needless to say, the Texas staff has been hard at work this cycle trying to land the top tackle prospects that reside in the Lone Star State this cycle and their hard work already resulted in landing Conroe Oak Ridge offensive tackle Tyler Johnson. With Atascocita’s Kenyon Green off the board to Texas A&M (some think Green is a tackle, but I don’t necessarily subscribe to that line of thinking) that leaves Houston North Forest’s Javonne Shepherd.
Shepherd quickly turned into one of the biggest in-state dogfights between Texas and Texas A&M this cycle, and with him potentially holding the greatest amount of upside at the position it makes sense. Early on it looked like A&M was poised to land both Green and Shepherd, as there was plenty of scuttle that the duo wanted to play together at the next level. As we all know by now there are no givens in world of recruiting and things can and always will change.
In the case of Shepherd, things begin to change in favor of the Longhorns earlier this spring when he was able to make it to Austin early in the spring and begin to form a bond with new Texas offensive line coach Herb Hand. That trip would be the first of several trips Shepherd made to Austin before the dead period hit and each time he left with Texas heavily on his mind.
This was a battle that Texas not only needed to win from a perception standpoint, but most importantly they needed it from a roster management standpoint. The Texas offensive line room needs more bodies like Shepherd in the pipeline and with his commitment to Texas; the Longhorns have solidified a big position of need this cycle.
Name: Javonne Shepherd
High School: North Forest
City & State: Houston, Texas
Height: 6’6 (Unverified)
Weight: 319 (Unverified)
40-yard: 4.76 (Unverified)
Shuttle: 4.58 (Unverified)
Vertical: 34 (Unverified)
No Stats Available
- Possesses very good measurables for the offensive tackle position. At 6’6, 320 pounds his size won’t be issue for whether he can stick at the position.
- Possesses good length, which will cause edge defenders issues when you combine it with his size.
- Possesses the athletic traits you in a future left tackle. Moves very well laterally for his size and his vertical shows he possesses some explosiveness.
- Has a very high ceiling and isn’t close to hitting it, which makes him a very enticing and intriguing prospect.
- Flashes a bit of a mean streak and shows that he can be a capable block finisher.
- Very nimble for his size and shows that he can be capable puller from the tackle spot.
- Possesses good functional strength at this stage in his development.
- Lacks the quality of film you would expect from a recruit of his caliber.
- With his size and athletic ability, I expected to turn on the film and see him dominant from snap to snap given his competition, but I didn’t see that.
- His highlight tape probably could have done without the very meh cut block attempts on the backside of plays.
- Very raw at this point in his development and will really benefit from collegiate coaching once he arrives on campus.
- Possesses great physical tools, but will likely have to redshirt and shape up his technique before he can be thrown into the fire.
- Need to see more reps of him as a pass blocker on tape. Majority of his highlight films consisted of run plays.
Javonne Shepherd is entering his 3rd year as a varsity starter at offensive tackle for Houston North Forest and has logged snaps at both left and right tackle at this point in his high school career. At 6’6, 319 pounds, Shepherd possesses very good size and should have no issues sticking at tackle from a measurable standpoint or athletic standpoint. Shepherd has been blessed with athletic traits that makes him a very enticing prospect that offensive line coaches would love to get their hands on to develop. On top of having very good size, Shepherd possesses long arms, good feet, he’s nimble and coordinated, has good flexibility, and on top of that he shows that he can be a finisher. From a physical standpoint, he checks off all the boxes that you look for when you draw up a collegiate offensive tackle. On the other side of the coin, Shepherd is extremely raw at this point from a technique standpoint and he lacks the dominant film you would expect to see from a prospect of his caliber. While he does show flashes of being up to line up and flat out dominate defenders at the POA, I was expecting to see a lot more of it from snap to snap as I sifted through his sophomore and junior film. Another red flag for me is that I didn’t get to see much from him as a pass blocker due to his tape being very heavy on run blocking, so I have questions about how far along he is in that department and it will be something I will be keeping my eye on during his senior year. This could be a result of the offense he is in being run oriented, but I would have much rather seen some clips of him in pass pro over him cutting defenders on the backside of run plays. Shepherd is a gifted prospect, but the more I watch him the more I feel like he has some boom/bust to him a player, but he’s the type of player you gamble on and trust your offensive line coach to get the most out of him. He’s a project player, but he’s a project player that has NFL upside who could potentially anchor your offensive line for several years.
This recruitment reached silly levels as both coaches and media members wore out Shepherd’s cell phone trying to continuously get updates on his visit intentions over the past month. It gave everyone a sneak peek of why some prospects choose to get through the recruiting process as quickly as possible so that they don’t have to be hounded night and day and honestly I don’t really blame them.
From a recruiting perception standpoint, this is big head to head victory for Tom Herman and his staff over Jimbo Fisher and in-state rival Texas A&M, who was viewed as the favorite to land Shepherd for some time. Much was made of Shepherd and Kenyon Green’s friendship and them wanting to play together at the next level, but package deals often don’t work out in recruiting and this is another data point to support that. At the end of the day recruits are going to do what is best for them and that is how it should be.
Texas offensive line coach Herb Hand deserves tremendous credit in landing Shepherd, as his impact was felt in this one from the moment Shepherd made it to campus this spring and begin building the relationship. Slowly but surely the tide began to turn in this recruitment and it led to Shepherd giving his pledge to Longhorns and giving them a talent tackle duo in Shepherd and Tyler Johnson.
Texas has landed two talented tackles this cycle, and now it has until February to find some interior bodies to go in between them to solidify the rest of their offensive line class.
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